White-Piece
0x91e60cef9494bdfcd6a59b8efd562adb94884278
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$78.23
Total PnL
$-76.21
Realised
$-7.33
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.36
$1.36
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
59 shares @ 25.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
35 shares @ 43.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.99
$-4.01
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.58
$-0.42
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
15 shares @ 38.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.51
$2.61
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16 shares @ 36.6¢·now 51.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.43
$2.43
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.93
$-3.07
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$-8.48
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 22?
115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
24 shares @ 8.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?$15.45Aug 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 22?$1.04Aug 11, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$25.64Jul 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$15.55Jul 16, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$49.18Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$15.52Jul 15, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$19.61Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$15.89Jul 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$5.19Jul 11, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$33.06Jul 10, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$15.32Jul 10, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$20.39Jul 10, 13:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$24.39Jul 9, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$5.00Jul 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$3.75Jul 9, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.27Jul 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$15.17Jul 9, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$27.78Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$20.17Jul 6, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.