Better-Rheumatism
0x9287bd3d7f9cc43198c98974cbbdfa1c48fe41f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$268.87
Total PnL
$-350.15
Realised
$33.40
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
40 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$29.40
$-0.20
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 72.5¢·now 72.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.82
$-0.16
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
30 shares @ 59.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.05
$1.25
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
20 shares @ 70.9¢·now 74.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$14.79
$0.61
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.90
$-0.50
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
20 shares @ 65.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$13.30
$0.20
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
20 shares @ 65.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-0.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
60 shares @ 21.4¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.85
$-0.98
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.90
$-1.70
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
30 shares @ 29.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.75
$0.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$10.00Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$17.20Jul 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$25.20Jul 21, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$5.50Jul 21, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.18Jul 21, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.80Jul 21, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$3.40Jul 21, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.50Jul 21, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3.56Jul 21, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$6.25Jul 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.30Jul 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$6.20Jul 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$5.60Jul 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.03Jul 21, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.40Jul 21, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$2.80Jul 21, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$3.51Jul 21, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.