0x92a8e955ab87753bc71f362b7333313bb0ac3683
0x92a8e955ab87753bc71f362b7333313bb0ac3683
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.70
Total PnL
$-124.45
Realised
$-20.80
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 19.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$0.11
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?
19284 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.28
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
285 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.95
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
133 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.71
- HAMAD MEDJEDOVIC
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert
53 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.57
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
46 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-18.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
40 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
8 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.94Jun 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.94Jun 19, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.68Jun 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.86Jun 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.83Jun 19, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.83Jun 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.36Jun 19, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.98Jun 19, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.50Jun 19, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.86Jun 19, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.64Jun 19, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.96Jun 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.65Jun 19, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.96Jun 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.93Jun 19, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.93Jun 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.00Jun 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.00Jun 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.94Jun 19, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.94Jun 19, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.