Liquid-Asphalt
0x92f9d486d383a2abffcef1eda3e87b69d33f7594
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$1.76
Total PnL
$-295.31
Realised
$9.08
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$1.76
$0.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1030 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
649 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
203 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$1.69Apr 18, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$8.69Apr 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$6.61Apr 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.42Apr 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Apr 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.71Apr 12, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.00Apr 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.00Apr 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".