Frosty-Kilogram
0x936168d2c2726ca204cf6b1734b299e6852f0321
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$157.31
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
62 shares @ 76.5¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.77
$-4.65
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
25 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.82
$6.07
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.08
$1.08
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.84
$8.78
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.46
$1.46
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.51
$1.51
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.06
$-0.08
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$0.24
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.18Jun 1, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.27May 29, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2.00May 29, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$4.00May 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$2.01May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.03May 18, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$2.04May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.01May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.06May 18, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$2.47May 17, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$3.51May 16, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?$4.17May 16, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?$2.03May 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$2.03May 16, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00May 16, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$43.41Apr 8, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$105.40Apr 8, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?$26.32Apr 8, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 17, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $25.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.