Unsightly-Mouser-Wraparound
0x93c631603ab1bfbed25940c5aba23c76332d86bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
119
Open notional
$14.33
Total PnL
$-377.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1 shares @ 84.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 70.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.28Jul 19, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$2.78Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$2.11Jul 18, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$1.07Jul 16, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jul 16, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$1.23Jul 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.83Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.16Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.07Jul 15, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.56Jul 13, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.92Jul 12, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.32Jul 12, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.64Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.92Jul 10, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.35Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jul 7, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jul 7, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.05Jul 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jul 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.05Jul 7, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.