Forsaken-Sentencing
0x93d1974fcfb0885f4a438f67aa74c6d86a28a451
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$430.81
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
354 shares @ 75.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$191.16
$-74.34
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
178 shares @ 51.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.22
$19.41
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.7¢·now 86.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.90
$76.21
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.50
$-11.50
- YES
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
95 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$-2.69
- NO
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?
15762 shares @ 69.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-11.0K
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1694 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-83.43
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?
1535 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-146.89
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.04
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?
438 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-36.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$41.96Jul 11, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$2.36Jun 26, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$5.43Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$4.25Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$1.68Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$2.13Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$13.34Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$8.63Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$218.29Jun 25, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$999.83Jun 25, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$40.00Jun 20, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$80.95Jun 20, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$100.00Jun 20, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$107.00Jun 20, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$157.00Jun 20, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$50.00May 7, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?$136.00May 7, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?$146.00May 7, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026$350.00May 7, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$924.00May 7, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $87.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.