Dizzy-Lightscreen
0x94922a802c9b254d22c0e4ae6b46145d45f03aaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$27.35
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-91.78
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
65 shares @ 32.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.22
$-14.78
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
79 shares @ 38.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.92
$-24.08
- NO
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- UP
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.87
$-6.13
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
1050 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
216 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-127.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$20.74May 12, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$19.76May 12, 04:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.24May 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.08May 1, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.