Occasional-Constitution
0x958d9cd4068fa578781073c2d66099865e543501
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$9.5K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$518.75
Win rate
38%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
4290 shares @ 62.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$2.9K
$171.68
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1023 shares @ 66.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$792.65
$111.69
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
919 shares @ 53.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$698.37
$206.36
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
855 shares @ 82.5¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$598.47
$-107.17
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1425 shares @ 65.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$548.78
$-382.25
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
600 shares @ 68.6¢·now 70.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$425.08
$13.68
- NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
553 shares @ 72.8¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$392.40
$-9.76
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
445 shares @ 74.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$304.89
$-25.98
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
394 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$242.42
$21.51
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
337 shares @ 68.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$231.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.25Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$20.00Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$30.00Jun 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$30.00Jun 13, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.06Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.00Jun 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$20.00Jun 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$30.00Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.00Jun 13, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$146.23Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$22.00Jun 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$40.00Jun 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$102.20Jun 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$18.00Jun 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$30.00Jun 13, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antoine Semenyo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.78Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?$1.01Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.