Dizzy-Retina
0x982ac14bc650021df281e1485e0cb5f91241f47a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$315.59
Total PnL
$-711.48
Realised
$7.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 68.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$289.85
$89.85
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
178 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.74
$-13.26
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
4430 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
809 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
632 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
615 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
386 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
377 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
244 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.88
- YES
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
238 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-82.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$39.00Jun 26, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$9.88Jun 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?$20.00Jun 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$40.00Jun 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$26.62Jun 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$35.00Jun 10, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$6.88Jun 8, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$307.69Jun 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$124.36Jun 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$150.00Jun 7, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$120.00Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$220.36Jun 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$150.00May 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$150.00May 24, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?$93.22May 23, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$39.83May 23, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?$100.00May 23, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $128.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.