Granular-Intervenor
0x988cba70083a8d752d34e42bc125c7132ec9403c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-27.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.58
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.04Jun 9, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?$1.04May 19, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.00May 19, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.31May 5, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.14May 5, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Apr 27, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00Apr 27, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00Apr 27, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.14Apr 27, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.17Mar 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.06Mar 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?$1.95Mar 8, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$1.16Mar 8, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?$1.24Mar 8, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.56Mar 6, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$1.00Mar 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$1.00Mar 6, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.