Novel-Servitude
0x98c79590ef0e2937c0a9ec5e76f25773da195a5d
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$48.34
Total PnL
$-72.15
Realised
$1.57
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$1.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.40
$-0.60
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.66
$1.66
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" at the Military Mothers event?
11 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Trump or Melania say "Biden" at the Military Mothers event?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during TPUSA events on April 17?
48 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
46 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Biden" at the Military Mothers event?$3.055h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" at the Military Mothers event?$4.105h ago
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$9.962d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$5.452d ago
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Bruins vs. Sabres Total Games O/U 5.5$8.234d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?$4.555d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obamacare" at The Villages on May 1?$7.025d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$6.395d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.165d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.235d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.005d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$16.035d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.135d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.145d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.125d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.105d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.005d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$8.005d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$2.115d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$4.585d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
