Shady-Sustenance
0x9a7eb0c7b952c7013ed7b5d2d244178bcb447d4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$130.87
Total PnL
$-34.96
Realised
$-1.78
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.25
$0.05
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 75.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.17
$1.52
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 40.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.51
$0.51
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 24.6¢·now 25.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.04
$0.94
- NO
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
5 shares @ 87.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.80
$0.37
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.73
$0.05
- YES
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$4.72
$0.52
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38 shares @ 15.6¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.71
$-1.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?$4.81Jul 2, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$2.65Jul 2, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$2.05Jul 2, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?$2.45Jul 2, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?$0.00Jul 2, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$0.00Jul 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMichael Gregoritsch: 2+ shots$3.01Jul 2, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$3.41Jul 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMichael Gregoritsch: 1+ shots$1.76Jul 2, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Gregoritsch: 2+ shots$3.14Jul 2, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Gregoritsch: 1+ shots$1.89Jul 2, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in July?$1.06Jul 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$3.33Jul 2, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.68Jul 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.04Jul 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.09Jul 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 29 above $245?$2.53Jul 2, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.