Indelible-Try
0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$60.8K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$97.02
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
36694 shares @ 88.7¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$27.7K
$-4.9K
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
7937 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.7K
$111.12
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?
3878 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.8K
$51.91
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
3000 shares @ 90.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$120.00
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
2725 shares @ 61.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.7K
$996.94
- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
2715 shares @ 50.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$1.9K
$516.15
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4604 shares @ 30.1¢·now 37.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$351.44
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
2351 shares @ 45.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.6K
$523.55
- NO
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
1305 shares @ 88.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$118.12
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
1400 shares @ 61.6¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.0K
$159.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$2.3KJul 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensik$139.47Jul 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$254.32Jul 28, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$313.78Jul 28, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$429.60Jul 28, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$296.38Jul 28, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$4.62Jul 28, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$506.75Jul 28, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensik AND Vancouver: Jiajing Lu vs Caroline Dolehide$11.00Jul 28, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$366.03Jul 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance AND LoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 AND LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season AND LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Season AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$11.00Jul 28, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$780.36Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$537.86Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$3.0KJul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$758.23Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?$3.5KJul 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$192.77Jul 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$147.66Jul 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$295.11Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$1.6KJul 28, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$13.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 3, 16:30 UTC → Jul 3, 16:27 UTC
- BUYGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$13.2K@100¢Jul 3, 16:27 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$13.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
$13.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $976.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.