Misguided-Parable
0x9b31303d5078474db289c4f645b022dd6da2398e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$352.70
Total PnL
$34.50
Realised
$62.94
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
103 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.69
$0.69
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
108 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
53 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.73
$-0.27
- NO
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.25
$26.25
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
14 shares @ 27.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.88
$2.14
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?
126 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.63
- YES
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
4 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.37May 15, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$100.23May 15, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?$50.18May 15, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?$50.12May 15, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$5.00May 15, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 in January?$5.01May 15, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$5.02May 15, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?$5.24May 15, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?$10.02May 15, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Crenshaw sue Shawn Ryan by Jan 31?$10.02May 15, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$69.16Mar 27, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$163.79Feb 6, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$140.00Feb 6, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$18.21Feb 6, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?$5.00Feb 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?$10.00Feb 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Crenshaw sue Shawn Ryan by Jan 31?$10.00Feb 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$5.00Feb 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$5.00Feb 1, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $90 in January?$5.00Feb 1, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $53.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".