Natural-Intensity
0x9cb98fc57fe8a3bdf75c3b48bd419e5d262f7b80
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$19.5K
Total PnL
$2.7K
Realised
$2.5K
Win rate
71%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3600 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$42.36
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3500 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$10.25
- NO
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
1500 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$3.00
- NO
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
1500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$82.48
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1000 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$971.50
$32.75
- NO
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
883 shares @ 76.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$794.35
$115.71
- NO
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
745 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$715.61
$67.27
- NO
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
845 shares @ 81.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$679.89
$-11.54
- NO
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
605 shares @ 81.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$505.18
$12.84
- YES
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
905 shares @ 30.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$461.55
$183.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.22Jun 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$90.01Jun 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.57Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.57Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.98Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.78Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.87Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.92Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.86Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.24Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.98Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.40Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12.24Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$30.01Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.20Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 2, 07:40 UTC → Jun 2, 07:34 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.5K@99¢Jun 2, 07:34 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.5K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$6.5K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $47.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.