Intelligent-Placebo
0x9df6b28c3382b5f4c29cfaeb45a66b21c34c608a
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$12.21
Total PnL
$-34.73
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.98
$0.97
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$0.81
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
4 shares @ 27.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.19Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.47May 20, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.07May 20, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$2.30May 20, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$2.38May 20, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$1.08Apr 19, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?$0.00Apr 10, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?$0.00Apr 10, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$1.00Apr 10, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$0.86Apr 10, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.00Apr 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$1.00Apr 10, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$2.00Apr 10, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$1.00Apr 10, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$2.00Apr 10, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$4.00Apr 10, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$0.00Apr 10, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$10.00Apr 10, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.00Apr 10, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.00Apr 10, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".