Weary-Archer
0x9e1d962647e412e1370a930e309b737f189a712b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$396.83
Total PnL
$-490.47
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$128.32
$8.32
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.15
$3.15
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
80 shares @ 92.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.56
$1.64
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
257 shares @ 38.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.00
$-73.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.72
$0.84
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100 shares @ 88.3¢·now 19.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.20
$-69.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
60 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.60
$-7.20
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-10.50
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.27
$-0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$52.20Jul 18, 16:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$50.00Jul 14, 22:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$121.20Jul 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$27.42Jul 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$15.53Jul 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.48Jul 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$44.37Jul 12, 19:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $45.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.