Immaterial-Outrun
0x9f471e4b20d853330c21fa20cd9a944c68fc9387
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$547.01
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-626.66
Win rate
33%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
300 shares @ 55.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$299.53
$134.54
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$75.00
$25.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
296 shares @ 39.7¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.84
$-62.74
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$-13.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 67.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.00
$-11.88
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
25 shares @ 78.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
25 shares @ 88.9¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.14
$-10.32
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
72 shares @ 43.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.67
$-26.74
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
406 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.83
$-13.84
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.27May 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.35May 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$46.65May 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$48.00May 7, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$73.50May 7, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 7, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$0.00May 7, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 7, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?$3.86May 7, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$75.00May 7, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$200.00May 7, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$300.00May 7, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$32.00May 5, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.64May 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$8.64May 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$8.80May 3, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.92May 3, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$87.00May 1, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$0.00Apr 30, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $43.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.