Sticky-Exaggeration
0xa077f2beb5d5b258d99cad8a9e765e7e1f9271ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$385.72
Total PnL
$-35.15
Realised
$-0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
125 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$125.05
$5.05
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$54.95
$4.95
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
47 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$47.06
$7.06
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 78.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$44.43
$9.43
- NO
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$43.48
$3.48
- NO
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$42.25
$12.25
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
27 shares @ 74.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$26.78
$6.77
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-8.27
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
38 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
38 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$2.59Apr 19, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$50.00Apr 12, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 12, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$19.54Apr 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$34.87Apr 11, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$30.00Apr 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$48.83Apr 10, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$40.00Apr 9, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$37.02Apr 9, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$5.91Apr 9, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$15.00Apr 8, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$10.00Apr 8, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 8, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$35.00Apr 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$35.00Apr 6, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$270.65Apr 6, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $41.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 03:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.