0xa10458080d1b883ae7e21146979f1de05036d45b
0xa10458080d1b883ae7e21146979f1de05036d45b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.81
Total PnL
$-77.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
45 shares @ 22.1¢·now 29.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$13.45
$3.45
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 25.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$-5.18
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-3.54
- YES
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
17 shares @ 47.8¢·now 6.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.10
$-6.90
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
48 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.48
$-11.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 7?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 7?
565 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
193 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 7?$5.00Mar 7, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 7?$5.00Mar 7, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$12.00Mar 7, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$10.00Mar 7, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?$0.00Mar 7, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Clinton say "Donor" during his Epstein testimony?$0.00Mar 7, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 7, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ireland win?$7.53Mar 7, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Donor" during his Epstein testimony?$5.00Feb 28, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$7.00Feb 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$5.00Feb 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$8.00Feb 28, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?$12.00Feb 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$10.00Feb 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$5.00Feb 28, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?$7.00Feb 28, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?$5.00Feb 27, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 27, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $6.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".