Ideal-Nasal
0xa146d5e46aaa06448c7cb8c77330b9f94efd038b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$150.65
Total PnL
$-95.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
23 shares @ 79.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.73
$3.68
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.51
$4.51
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$11.30
$3.30
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
21 shares @ 43.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.67
$1.67
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 39.2¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.63
$-5.41
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 16.9¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.24
$-1.76
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
109 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.88
$-2.12
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$7.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$16.04May 10, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.16May 10, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 10, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$10.20May 10, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$10.00May 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.07May 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.33May 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.43May 8, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.07May 8, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$6.78May 8, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".