Optimistic-Stepsister
0xa1c5ce67ded7f82ca01056b3130c0c3b4b7eced2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$47.06
Total PnL
$-37.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
34 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.48
$4.48
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.06
$2.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.52
$0.52
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
91 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$5.13May 4, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$30.00May 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.17May 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$39.32May 4, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 4, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 4, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 4, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.77May 4, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$2.08May 4, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$3.23May 4, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$9.09May 4, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.00Apr 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$0.99Apr 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.00Apr 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$1.00Apr 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1.00Apr 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$5.00Apr 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Apr 18, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$7.50Apr 18, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Apr 18, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.