Worthy-Tapioca
0xa251fb7c7998fbe02c7af9be32ec4eceea53505f
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$594.36
Total PnL
$-56.87
Realised
$-35.01
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.44
$-5.56
- NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
397 shares @ 13.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$41.68
$-12.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
274 shares @ 19.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$38.34
$-14.29
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
84 shares @ 30.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.29
$7.46
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
122 shares @ 21.5¢·now 25.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.91
$4.75
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
64 shares @ 40.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.43
$4.80
- NO
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?
109 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$26.58
$0.54
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
86 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$25.83
$0.00
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
125 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$25.57
$-0.62
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.44
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$25.413h ago
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$26.723h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 45°F or below on May 5?$1.497h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$25.837h ago
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?$21.837h ago
- TRADEBUYWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?$25.4610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$26.9210h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.4810h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?$26.6313h ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$25.3015h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$26.1715h ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$37.2716h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$27.1918h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$26.9218h ago
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$9.8119h ago
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$25.0821h ago
- TRADESELLWill "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$22.4721h ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.6321h ago
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$25.5122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$54.7622h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".