Dirty-Market
0xa35efc74daada70277b0abfb6f1707a86a3d0e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
6269 shares @ 80.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
444 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.44
$-15.56
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$149.77
$49.77
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
141 shares @ 70.8¢·now 17.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.87
$-75.13
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
716 shares @ 89.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$-638.53
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
1167 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-803.28
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
616 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
542 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$5.33Jun 19, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$7.04Jun 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.15Jun 19, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$147.90Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.0KJun 3, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?$271.03May 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.52May 2, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.55May 2, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.56May 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.56May 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.56May 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.56May 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.56May 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$100.56May 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$115.38May 1, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$102.60May 1, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$249.97May 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$278.80May 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$500.00May 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?$0.00May 1, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $272.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.