Superficial-Essay
0xa3a9a8384ba9dac56da62d994c82df53e4aa6c89
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$599.88
Total PnL
$-74.61
Realised
$31.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
421 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$403.94
$3.94
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
197 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$143.01
$-0.99
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
38 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.36
$0.36
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$6.96
$-0.04
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5
5 shares @ 68.3¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.69
$0.19
- OVER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.48
$-0.02
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5
5 shares @ 72.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.44
$-0.06
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
561 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-104.30
- UNDER
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UNDER
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
4 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5$1.01Jun 14, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5$2.01Jun 14, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5$1.01Jun 14, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5$1.00Jun 14, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5$2.51Jun 14, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5$2.51Jun 14, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5$2.52Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5$2.52Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5$2.51Jun 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$18.06Jun 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$17.03Jun 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5$17.11Jun 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5$15.68Jun 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5$1.24Jun 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5$5.06Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$3.90Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$3.57Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$0.01Jun 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$3.02Jun 13, 06:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $22.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.