Mundane-Airbag
0xa3af760e15e6b6bd3c43d8cf2ae6952f0a9bb7a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$15.6K
Total PnL
$-789.47
Realised
$434.85
Win rate
62%
129 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1175 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$6.59
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1166 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.2K
$3.42
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
863 shares @ 84.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$733.04
$0.10
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
636 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$542.02
$1.29
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
562 shares @ 93.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$527.77
$0.31
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
567 shares @ 79.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$479.48
$29.86
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
473 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$466.14
$1.40
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
527 shares @ 85.5¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$451.38
$1.04
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
468 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$425.77
$-0.42
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
481 shares @ 76.1¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$369.49
$2.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$26.51Jun 14, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$5.95Jun 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.88Jun 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$6.80Jun 14, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$14.70Jun 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$19.69Jun 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.63Jun 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.94Jun 14, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$12.91Jun 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$17.87Jun 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11.13Jun 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$12.35Jun 14, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.88Jun 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.35Jun 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$4.74Jun 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$13.64Jun 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.80Jun 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$17.86Jun 14, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$63.55Jun 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.96Jun 14, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 09:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 129 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.