First-Slip
0xa3cd50527b4f771e80fab45edf6ff4d14f9403af
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$126.70
Total PnL
$0.97
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
27 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$22.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.15
$0.15
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$12.72
$2.72
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.53
$0.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.69
$-0.60
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
9 shares @ 78.8¢·now 79.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.03
$0.03
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$-0.80
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?$4.18Jun 14, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$6.80Jun 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$9.32Jun 14, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$4.10Jun 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.28Jun 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLChina coup attempt before 2027?$10.27Jun 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.55Jun 14, 03:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?$10.18Jun 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$11.21Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$0.00Jun 9, 10:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$7.06Jun 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $7.44Jun 8, 17:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$18.00Jun 7, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.