Pale-Chronograph
0xa408ecf7297bb8277f4ad1de57e2d67a86ee3dc1
Quality score
96/100
Open positions
33
Open notional
$661.93
Total PnL
$-150.57
Realised
$6.04
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
77 shares @ 84.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$64.98
$-0.35
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
5313 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$61.09
$-12.28
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
96 shares @ 52.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$50.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
341 shares @ 14.7¢·now 14.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$47.73
$-2.27
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
47 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
92 shares @ 43.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$38.36
$-1.64
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
44 shares @ 81.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$35.98
$-0.03
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$33.29
$3.29
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.67
$1.67
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$30.89
$0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$40.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$50.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$50.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$40.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$30.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$50.0011h ago
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.8111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.331d ago
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.871d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$30.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$30.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$33.132d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$33.332d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$30.343d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12.163d ago
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$18.183d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$27.445d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$20.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?$46.955d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 24d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.