Dead-Possibility
0xa574e9aa9704b0bf70c757d51936120c285eefe0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-680.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
650 shares @ 74.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$638.63
$152.13
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
350 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$267.75
$1.75
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
400 shares @ 58.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$240.00
$8.00
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
242 shares @ 85.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$235.78
$29.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
300 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.50
$4.50
- NO
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$141.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
134 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$97.03
$-2.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
700 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-490.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
300 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-276.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
150 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-109.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$4.11Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$11.15Jun 11, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.02Jun 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.01Jun 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.01Jun 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.07Jun 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.02Jun 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.28Jun 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$22.02Jun 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$41.68Jun 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.06Jun 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.06Jun 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.03Jun 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.03Jun 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.21Jun 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.08Jun 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.16Jun 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.77Jun 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.27Jun 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.01Jun 11, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.