0xa59c5d50e0a138d2150f2335466fccc973d9a1e4
0xa59c5d50e0a138d2150f2335466fccc973d9a1e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$7.93
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.92May 15, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.41May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?$1.12May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$1.72May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$1.13May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1.08May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$8.18May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$0.77May 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$2.30May 15, 14:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.00May 10, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?$0.01May 10, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$2.93May 10, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.01May 10, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?$1.54May 10, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.