Anxious-Jam
0xa7fc3e9da9cb56ddcb9ffedbf3210c4d60cfda71
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$1.51
Total PnL
$-115.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 48.7¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
1390 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?
1054 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 9PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
666 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the February decision?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$3.00Jun 2, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.34Jun 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$2.05Jun 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$1.00Apr 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?$1.00Apr 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 18, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.00Apr 18, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$8.00Apr 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.11Mar 24, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.11Mar 24, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$2.41Mar 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$3.00Mar 9, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 8, 10AM ET$4.56Mar 8, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 8, 10AM ET$2.50Mar 8, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$2.51Mar 8, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.