Prime-Immigrant
0xa94267092b14a04e37a3e45d1aba88902ebcdcf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$741.35
Total PnL
$23.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$185.00
$2.00
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.55
$3.25
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.55
$3.45
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$79.99
$8.00
- NO
EU dissolves before 2027?
52 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.95
$0.25
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
50 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.23
$0.72
- NO
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$48.05
$0.50
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$46.25
$0.75
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
46 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.53
$1.60
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$38.25
$2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$10.15Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$50.00Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$23.87Jun 12, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$50.00Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$11.66Jun 9, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$22.83Jun 9, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$46.44Jun 6, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$50.00Jun 6, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$22.50Jun 4, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$15.00Jun 2, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$25.51May 22, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$49.22May 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.05May 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$23.80May 19, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$49.50May 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$47.50May 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$28.36May 8, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$50.00May 5, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$13.98May 4, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$47.62May 4, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $33.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.