Testy-Armchair
0xaaa06ae52fcdab4e01b0164b32a98f1f4d41fc82
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$25.94
Total PnL
$-4.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
10 shares @ 59.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.09
$4.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 27.4¢·now 24.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.38
$1.38
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump or Melania say "Venezuela" at the Military Mothers event?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 45.2¢·now 39.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Venezuela" at the Military Mothers event?$1.019h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$1.061d ago
- REDEEMWill Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$0.0016d ago
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.0019d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Price" 15+ times during National Agriculture Day events?$0.0021d ago
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Slovakia" during meetings with Orbán?$0.0021d ago
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.6721d ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Slovakia" during meetings with Orbán?$2.0029d ago
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.0829d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.0034d ago
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.0134d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Price" 15+ times during National Agriculture Day events?$2.0040d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?$2.5040d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?$1.0041d ago
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.0643d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hiroshima" or "Nagasaki" during events with Japanese PM?$0.0047d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hiroshima" or "Nagasaki" during events with Japanese PM?$2.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$0.0048d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 70d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
