Smoggy-Antique
0xaab9f5e600a5dd88fe3a6f93313b180f6220a08d
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$43.3K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
12501 shares @ 65.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.7K
$-1.5K
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
6448 shares @ 63.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
13355 shares @ 32.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.5K
$123.11
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
3513 shares @ 61.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
4221 shares @ 39.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.2K
$1.5K
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
9423 shares @ 36.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-1.1K
- YES
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
2222 shares @ 92.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.1K
$74.44
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2304 shares @ 75.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.8K
$30.62
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
110071 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-420.25
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
2629 shares @ 40.4¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.5K
$409.46
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONMakerfield by-election Winner$1.6KJun 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$576.00Jun 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$4.35Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.70Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.68Jun 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$6.02Jun 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.70Jun 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.70Jun 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.70Jun 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.63Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.70Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.70Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$7.27Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.5KJun 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$0.37Jun 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$0.30Jun 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$0.30Jun 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$0.30Jun 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$0.33Jun 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$413.67Jun 13, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $56.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.