0xaba298e1d2b35a3a62c05159a3dfd6ddbefd003d
0xaba298e1d2b35a3a62c05159a3dfd6ddbefd003d
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
11
Open notional
$174.33
Total PnL
$-30.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$101.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 16.6¢·now 17.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
73 shares @ 27.4¢·now 26.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.14
$-7.86
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1043 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.91
$-10.09
- YES
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
836 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.10
$-12.90
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0017h ago
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1.006d ago
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.007d ago
- REDEEMWill Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.007d ago
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.007d ago
- REDEEMWill TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?$1.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$1.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 14?$0.0011d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $10.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.