Dual-Appliance
0xac23b0fe72da752df80be468a43daf18657646eb
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$687.07
Total PnL
$11.60
Realised
$14.70
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
110 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$105.98
$0.89
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.80
$-0.36
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.50
$0.50
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
66 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.64
$4.64
- YES
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
92 shares @ 62.4¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.64
$3.28
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
47 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.06
$-0.24
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
42 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.92
$-0.63
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.50
$2.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.25
$3.25
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
36 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.84
$3.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$5.437h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$4.787h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$12.197h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$14.367h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?$7.317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$16.057h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?$17.787h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$40.607h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$21.258h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$32.378h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$18.2710h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$32.0010h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$67.0810h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$30.6011h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.5012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$17.2212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$17.8512h ago
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$10.2616h ago
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$45.1516h ago
- TRADEBUYWill another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?$10.631d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $29.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
