Ill-Violin
0xafa32cddd1298b7f3547c344d1abbe7d318171fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$416.62
Realised
$618.72
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1230 shares @ 80.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$120.25
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
450 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$440.78
$9.90
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
370 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$366.86
$19.15
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 65.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.00
$36.00
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
120 shares @ 75.2¢·now 90.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.08
$18.88
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
80 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.56
$0.12
- NO
Eric Adams charged by December 31?
100 shares @ 59.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$72.50
$12.70
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
553 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.39
$-3.13
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.60
$0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$30.00Jun 11, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$29.79Jun 11, 20:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.26Jun 7, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 7, 12:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.35Jun 6, 22:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$58.08Jun 5, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$19.36Jun 5, 09:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01Jun 4, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 4?$100.00Jun 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 4?$49.40Jun 4, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 4?$49.50Jun 4, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $28.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.