Educated-Runway
0xafbcfbb51d831d53f0bdd8e5cc2333b548eb18c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$2.3K
Realised
$3.3K
Win rate
97%
132 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
2418 shares @ 62.9¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$-288.56
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1195 shares @ 29.3¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$917.97
$567.60
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
855 shares @ 82.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$842.68
$137.18
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
2418 shares @ 7.4¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$418.11
$238.98
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
731 shares @ 26.7¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$307.57
$112.40
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
2414 shares @ 9.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$272.84
$40.54
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
731 shares @ 23.9¢·now 34.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$250.89
$75.81
- YES
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
239 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$238.42
$16.29
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1179 shares @ 25.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.71
$-116.89
- YES
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
182 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$181.01
$11.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$516.45Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$98.02Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$237.91Jun 9, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$243.78May 28, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$40.22May 27, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$12.48May 25, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$52.06May 23, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?$0.00May 21, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 21, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 132 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.