Impartial-Reverse-Ford
0xb0c21e020dda9005a469a2e9c20475a0451ab7b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$84.10
Total PnL
$-357.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
33 shares @ 30.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.16
$23.16
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.28
$11.28
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.49
$4.49
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
6 shares @ 87.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.41
$-22.59
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
177 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.44
$-11.96
- YES
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
44 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.33
$-9.36
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
51 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-9.69
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.13
$-9.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$13.89Jun 1, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$14.93Jun 1, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rangers FC win on 2026-05-10?$114.00May 10, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?$2.20May 9, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$51.24May 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?$51.33May 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$10.16May 9, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$24.00May 8, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$24.39May 4, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$12.40May 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$10.26May 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.32May 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.35May 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$25.00May 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$10.00May 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$10.00May 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$25.00May 4, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$2.00Apr 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$5.00Apr 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$5.00Apr 25, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $19.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.