Weak-Dinner
0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$83.1K
Total PnL
$-590.5K
Realised
$5.0K
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
20000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.7K
$140.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
30000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.0K
$6.4K
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
50000 shares @ 33.9¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.6K
$-5.4K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
10000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.4K
$680.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10678 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.9K
$-53.39
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
131273 shares @ 8.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.0K
$-4.3K
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
10000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$5.4K
$-1.0K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
23808 shares @ 16.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$309.45
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$750.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
462 shares @ 35.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.24
$-85.48
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.61Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$25.85Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.2KJun 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$640.00Jun 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$195.65Jun 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.3KJun 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$68.72Jun 12, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$211.76Jun 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.20Jun 12, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$32.00Jun 12, 03:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$33.63Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$493.18Jun 11, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.41Jun 11, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$23.53Jun 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$47.06Jun 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$47.06Jun 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$192.00Jun 11, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$199.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 3, 02:10 UTC → Jun 3, 02:02 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$199.4K@100¢Jun 3, 02:02 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$199.4K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$199.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $308.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.