Arctic-Musculature
0xb1b07b23303ed9eaa714b319bd9acec3a1462e3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$18.99
Total PnL
$0.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- VP.PRODIGY
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- POLINA KUDERMETOVA
Antalya 2: Alina Charaeva vs Polina Kudermetova
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Lynx vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$1.00Mar 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntalya 2: Alina Charaeva vs Polina Kudermetova$1.00Mar 4, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$1.00Jan 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Jan 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Nov 14, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$2.00Nov 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Oct 27, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$1.08Oct 24, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.27Oct 24, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$1.54Oct 24, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$1.78Oct 24, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Oct 7, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Sep 2, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".