Gaseous-Soybean
0xb2a309a61ca9ed5db26e9fdda3a19ff4ae3a79e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$251.02
Total PnL
$-119.55
Realised
$-7.99
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
29 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.31
$-0.29
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
179 shares @ 20.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.41
$-13.90
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
15 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.15
$-0.08
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$13.02
$-1.38
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
11 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.28
$2.48
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.47
$0.23
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
26 shares @ 48.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.20
$-4.44
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 56.6¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.06
$-3.79
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.70
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$6.38Jun 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?$3.25Jun 5, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?$1.37Jun 5, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$1.35Jun 4, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$1.35Jun 4, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$3.10Jun 4, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1.62Jun 4, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.11Jun 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.01Jun 3, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?$2.01Jun 2, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in May?$2.01Jun 2, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$2.03Jun 2, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.05Jun 2, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.05Jun 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.02Jun 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.03Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.03Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.03Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.03Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.03Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".