Mellow-Rations
0xb4d15e039fe14e8b6fd2304305912b3b1499935d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$98.99
Total PnL
$-40.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
33 shares @ 64.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.82
$4.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.28
$0.28
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
30 shares @ 16.7¢·now 19.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.73
$0.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 18?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.88
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.07May 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$7.21May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?$7.99May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$6.03May 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 18?$5.19May 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$10.41May 17, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.18May 17, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.21May 17, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$5.17May 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.06May 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?$5.18May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?$5.10May 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$1.06May 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.03May 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$4.78May 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$4.68May 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.20May 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$5.13May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.12May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$6.45May 15, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".