0xb4f3b8bd46768e8aafd7be12cc94db8cd6f99317
0xb4f3b8bd46768e8aafd7be12cc94db8cd6f99317
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$28.57
Total PnL
$-6.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
9 shares @ 64.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.67
$0.04
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.34
$0.36
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.01
$0.20
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
112 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.53
$-5.44
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 56.9¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.14
$0.49
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
43 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.57
$-0.24
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
12 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.43
- NO
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.03
- YES
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.4523d ago
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$1.8923d ago
- REDEEMWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.0041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.4641d ago
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.9141d ago
- TRADESELLWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$1.0155d ago
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$0.0056d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$1.0156d ago
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$0.0056d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.8159d ago
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.2659d ago
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.2160d ago
- TRADESELLGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$2.8660d ago
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.8366d ago
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.8466d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.2067d ago
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.5767d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$1.0367d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.5968d ago
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.6568d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 81d ago
- Last active
- 23d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.