Handmade-Isolation
0xb6a4bddd729b11abffb4822282225d0b7eacaa57
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$82.82
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$149.93
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
82 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.60
$2.34
- NO
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$0.11
- NO
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$0.12
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$0.08
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 62.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.38
$-0.24
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
1 shares @ 27.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.23
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.04
$0.01
- YES
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
690 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-434.70
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
665 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-93.10
- YES
Will Trump post "America Last" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
459 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-247.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$4.00Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$4.00Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBlackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers$356.00Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$641.00Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?$850.00Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?$442.00Apr 23, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$59.78Apr 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$304.85Apr 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$165.44Apr 11, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$291.45Apr 10, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$117.25Apr 10, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$13.40Apr 10, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$148.05Apr 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$148.50Apr 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$721.23Apr 7, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$74.79Mar 31, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$402.84Mar 31, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$323.46Mar 31, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$77.70Mar 31, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $220.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.