Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $14.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.