0xb6b4a552e59cd997d976454e8a49d2dc30495efc
0xb6b4a552e59cd997d976454e8a49d2dc30495efc
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.14
Total PnL
$-105.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.14
$-2.69
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?
58 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- NO
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
56 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
48 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
48 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- NO
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?
47 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?
47 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO on June 17, 2026?
44 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?
42 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?$0.05Jul 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?$6.44Jul 10, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$9.32Jul 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?$14.20Jun 23, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJulian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5$2.97Jun 10, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?$2.97Jun 10, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14?$2.96Jun 10, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$2.84Jun 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 15?$2.96Jun 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 10?$2.97Jun 10, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?$2.97Jun 9, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.96Jun 9, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.97Jun 8, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13?$2.97Jun 8, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?$2.97Jun 8, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?$2.97Jun 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?$2.96Jun 8, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)$2.97Jun 8, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$2.96Jun 7, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$9.22Jun 7, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.