0xb6ce892dd3e01d4e30264f15fd9e61a4f62f895d
0xb6ce892dd3e01d4e30264f15fd9e61a4f62f895d
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$21.8K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$993.44
Win rate
58%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6001 shares @ 80.2¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.1K
$281.05
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
1606 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.6K
$56.59
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1322 shares @ 87.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.3K
$141.33
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1011 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$35.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
951 shares @ 49.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$950.99
$480.02
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6000 shares @ 20.1¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$908.99
$-298.12
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
894 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$860.07
$16.54
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
829 shares @ 91.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$733.94
$-24.94
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
601 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$601.04
$9.56
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3517 shares @ 17.1¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$553.86
$-46.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$5.20Jun 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.77Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$5.78Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$133.10Jun 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.99Jun 13, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.96Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$5.77Jun 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$2.86Jun 13, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$7.66Jun 13, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$17.05Jun 13, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$519.14Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$19.32Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.03Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$22.37Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$16.20Jun 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?$14.93Jun 13, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$4.18Jun 13, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$20.89Jun 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?$4.97Jun 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$3.89Jun 13, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.