Different-Ecclesia
0xb6fa57039ea79185895500dbd0067c288594abcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.81
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
73%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
25626 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$12.81
$13.74
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
128360 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
107559 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.56
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38835 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38815 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38710 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38710 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38710 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38680 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38596 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$0.00Jul 25, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$0.00Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Pickens play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?$0.00Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for New Orleans Saints next?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Nash be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Pickens play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikita Krylov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.01Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
69/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
62 closed markets, 73% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.